Think tank predicts BN win for Cameron Highlands
CAMERON POLLS | Ilham Centre says survey points to BN receiving support from majority of Malays and Orang Asli.
CAMERON POLLS | Think tank Ilham Centre has predicted a win for BN in tomorrow's by-election for the Cameron Highlands parliamentary seat.
The prediction was based on a face-to-face survey it conducted with 402 respondents of all races, genders, and age groups using the random stratified sampling method.
It said among the factors influencing voters to pick BN were Malay-Muslim sensitivities, local issues, the impact of former prime minister Najib Abdul Razak's campaigning, and backing from PAS supporters.
Low turnout among non-Malay voters
Another factor going against Pakatan Harapan would be the possibility of a low voter turnout among non-Malays.
The centre said many of the respondents interviewed said their children who vote in the constituency would not be likely to return from out of town for the by-election tomorrow.
The fact that polling day is taking place just a week before Chinese New Year is deemed to be a discouraging factor for outstation voters.
Meanwhile, Ilham Centre said Orang Asli voters were no longer a safe deposit for BN, with a small swing expected to go towards Pakatan Harapan.
However, the think tank said Harapan needs to get at least 30 percent of the Orang Asli votes if it is to stand a chance of winning tomorrow.
"Based on this, we expect BN can win this by-election with the support of a majority of Malays and Orang Asli, and low turnout among Chinese and Indian voters," the centre said in a statement today.
These BN fellows have already tanked.
The other side......young chinese are returning for new year.....orang asli influence by gua musang durian will be voting for PH....Indian upset with cili farm project will vote PH......PH will will win with small margin......Ha ha ha
Many think tanks predicted BN would retain power in GE14, at the end what happen? BN lost after 61 years in power. The outcome shocked everyone including some reputable think tanks. Like soccer, even favorite teams are eliminated from competition. Nothing is certain.