My calculation: Harapan to win 118 seats

AWPublished: Apr 27, 2018 12:29 PM | Updated: Apr 27, 2018 1:17 PM

Your prediction is accurate. Congratulations.

03:10 PM, 06 Jun 2018

Let us all turn up for GE14!!!

Munirah Abdul Wahid05:10 PM, 07 May 2018

too optimistic...

wong kuan hoong03:45 AM, 30 Apr 2018

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Your prediction is accurate. Congratulations.

03:10 PM, 06 Jun 2018

Let us all turn up for GE14!!!

Munirah Abdul Wahid05:10 PM, 07 May 2018

too optimistic...

wong kuan hoong03:45 AM, 30 Apr 2018

Hello, what about the postal votes and phantom voters? they do make a difference.

Wan Asma yusuf12:51 AM, 29 Apr 2018

The most important is PH voters turn out. Second, the isnt voting irregularities.

Umar Muttaqi12:43 AM, 29 Apr 2018

Enlightening. If only we have more rakyat like you.

Boyz Ooi01:14 PM, 28 Apr 2018

A very naive and simple analysis with alot of holes and assumptions.

Chieng Yu Sieng10:56 AM, 28 Apr 2018

Even in case if BN wins it will be clear that the there will be a decline in the popularity vote. Once the popularity vote is less than 40% then it is good enough to show it is not going to be a popular government and in the next election they will disintergrate.

Venkatachelam Raman10:24 AM, 28 Apr 2018

I agree with Quigonbond...let's "continue to encourage people to come back to vote Harapan." If everyone of us can encourage/support 2 or 5 more, the efforts would have been worth it for the many generations to come.

Aqilah Hairan08:09 AM, 28 Apr 2018

Go all out on the legality of UMNO is a better bet...the whole world is watching. ROS and EC are two jailbirds assured of permanent residency in Sungei Buloh prison.

Nancy Low07:46 AM, 28 Apr 2018

Maybe the people are not affected at all by GST, never ending tolls, higher prices of essential goods, low exchange rates....and they must really love corruption and thievery.

Ravi Sangar05:09 AM, 28 Apr 2018

Election results can be "calculated" like that?

Ana04:59 AM, 28 Apr 2018

Don't forget, Umno could still be declared an illegal organization for not holding their party election within the stipulated time.

MT04:15 AM, 28 Apr 2018

High turnouts a must on 09/05 and Pakatan Harapan commitment towards this doable target..."118" parliament seats!

Yeap Khoon Saik04:07 AM, 28 Apr 2018

Even if, IF, BN wins. It would only win with a very few seats. If that happens, UMNO would force him to quit. That is UMNO's culture. Many vultures are waiting to gobble. In that sense PH wins.

Racheal Goh03:01 AM, 28 Apr 2018

I agree with AW's analysis. Merdeka Centre's result on Kedah is questionable. Only 1.1% Malay swing fr BN to PH in Kedah? That's so ridiculous.

Boyz Ooi02:32 AM, 28 Apr 2018

Yes perhaps. Provided a reps remember to register and not forget their ICs!

Prabhat Yonzon02:12 AM, 28 Apr 2018

Well we have to be optimistic and work at it. The best scenario PH wins, the worst scenario PH makes massive inroads!

Shoniyaa Mitrra232312:20 AM, 28 Apr 2018

My prediction: PH (+Sabah Oppositions) 111 vs BN 96 vs PAS 15. PAS might side with BN.

Racheal Goh11:34 PM, 27 Apr 2018

Still have to take into account (1) swing not so great and (2) some not coming back to vote. Voters' job, if they really want change, is to continue to encourage people to come back to vote Harapan.

Stephen Leong09:44 PM, 27 Apr 2018