MP SPEAKS The year 2012 begins with the end of a sandiwara, where a male political aide who was allegedly sodomised had the time to sip a cup of coffee, with curry puffs, after being vigorously defiled by his aged attacker.

This is in addition to a string of factual controversies such the aide’s ability to not drink, eat, and excrete for two days after the alleged incident, and that semen was ‘found’ in both orifices - the mouth and the anus.

azlanThe test results concluded that three different DNA samples were apparent in the ‘found’ semen. Despite the samples being left in the open by the officer in-charge. And might I add another alleged affair between the victim and the X-chromosome deputy public prosecutor.

Yes, I’m referring to our opposition leader, Anwar Ibrahim, who is the victim of the injustice of our Malaysia judicial system. The Malaysian public is anxious to know the judgment which the High Court would deliver on Monday.

Here are some of the possibilities that could occur on Jan 9.
 
I) Anwar Ibrahim is found guilty (90 percent probability)

This seems to be the general consensus among the public and I might add that the High Court would put a stay on execution so that Anwar would appeal his case. This would be a win-win scenario for BN/Umno because a ‘guilty’ verdict might sway the rural voters into believing the sexual promiscuity of our opposition Leader, and also an efficient way to further prolong the case; to exert more stress and pressure on Anwar and to weaken Pakatan Rakyat.

BN/Umno might want to deny Anwar from contesting in the upcoming general election (GE) by disqualifying him owing to his guilty verdict, thus allegedly creating a leadership vacuum within Pakatan, hoping that such a move might cause the alliance between PKR, DAP, and PAS to disintegrate.

Pakatan Rakyat has already taken precautions by announcing that a replacement is already in place in case anything happens to Anwar.

II) Anwar Ibrahim is ordered to jail immediately (50 percent probability)

This is definitely a conundrum for Umno as its warlords have been debating for months on the pros and cons of jailing Anwar. By putting Anwar in jail, proponents have justified that the alliance within the component parties of Pakatan would be weakened severely as thousands of members in PKR would leave the party. This then will reinforce the mentality of the rural folk that DAP is in fact the leader of Pakatan.

This move, to strike fast and hard, could face severely negative repercussions as tens of thousands of people, if not more, would go on the streets to protest the judgment. If not for the Arab Spring and the global protest phenomenon happening in all over the globe - where the will to protest seem not to dissipate even after nearly approaching a one-year anniversary; this would have been the most likely option for the Najib Abdul Razak administration.

PKR is currently assembling 100,000 members to support Anwar during his verdict, as a counter measure to BN. The police had just approved the rally, which would be held in the open car park in front of the High Court.

III) Anwar Ibrahim is acquitted (less than five percent)

BN might hope that by acquitting Anwar, and allowing the prosecution to appeal the judgment, the government might be able to demonstrate the independence and fairness of our judicial system.

The PM might also hope that this would convince the urban voters that actual change is happening in the political environment; and along with the 1Malaysia campaigning, will propel BN/Umno back to recovering its two-third majority with the support of both rural and urban voters. This tactic might be seen as a good sell but it creates too many uncertainties for BN/Umno, and with the current political landscape, uncertainty is never a good thing.

Anwar had just stated the importance of having a strong opposition and that a simple majority in government is enough, even if Pakatan Rakyat comes into power.

IV) The High Court will postpone its judgment (20 percent probability)

The High Court might just postpone its judgment, citing safety concerns due to the masses of people, seemingly trying to devour the Malaysian courts. Postponing judgments will allow the BN/Umno to observe the political strength of Pakatan Rakyat.

Regardless of the Jan 9 outcome, I believe the desire for change among Malaysians is not confine to just the opposition leader. The people are tired of the economic and political piracy of Barisan National and the Najib/Umno administration. Pakatan Rakyat had already shown to be better administrators; as shown in Penang, Kedah, Kelantan, and Selangor than their BN/Umno counterparts who had more than 54 years to prove the sincerity and worthiness.

Pakatan Rakyat believes in freedom and equality for all. Pakatan Rakyat believes that Malaysians are able and talented, who can stand on their own feet and succeed. Pakatan Rakyat believes that Malaysia is the greatest country, and that the current mismanagement and excessive corruption of the ruling BN government is causing our children to leave the homeland unwillingly.

Today, I ask you to stand up for your democratic rights - the freedom of expression, including the right to dissent; the independence of our justice system, including the right for a fair and speedy trial; and most importantly the sanctity of our constitution, including upholding the rights of equality and meritocracy, the system in which our nation was founded upon.

Come and gather in our peaceful assembly this Monday morning, Jan 9, at the open car park in front of the Jalan Duta High Court. We asked the police to facilitate this peaceful gathering, a right enshrined in our federal constitution, and we welcome our opposition to have their assembly, including Umno and Perkasa.

Let 901 be the day where history is in the making - the day of liberty, and the day our people are finally allowed to express their rights as enshrined in our constitution.

 

HEE LOY SIAN is MP for Petaling Jaya Selatan and a member of the PKR Central Leadership Council.